A small shift in support is all Trump needed to turn the tides of the race
for the first time in my model, trump is favored to win 2024
Last Thursday I watched the debate, and to put it mildly, Biden lost. Now we are starting to see new post-debate polls come out. They paint a picture of a Trump + 1.5 polling average. Of course, fundamentals play a role in my forecast and Biden is favored to win the popular vote by 2.3 points.
Still, as we know the popular vote means nothing. Clinton lo…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Election Oracle to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.